Twins continue set with Royals
Baseball Betting Lines
09/07/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Capturing a second straight American League Central title
may be the Minnesota Twins' main objective, but judging by the team's
performance at Target Field this season, having home-field advantage for the
opening round of the playoffs would be a big deal as well.
The first-place Twins will try to move a step closer towards accomplishing
both goals in tonight's middle test of a three-game series with the visiting
Kansas City Royals.
Minnesota maintained its 3 1/2-game advantage on the determined Chicago White Sox for the Central's top spot with Monday's 5-4 decision over the Royals. The
win was the Twins' fourth in a row and ninth in their last 11 contests, and
improved Ron Gardenhire's squad to an outstanding 46-23 at Target Field this
season.
The Twins have now won 17 of their past 20 games at the first-year ballpark
and are in excellent position to start the postseason at home if they can hold
off the White Sox for the division crown. With both the top team and the wild
card likely to come out of the AL East, Minnesota currently owns a 5 1/2-game
lead on West front-runner Texas for the No. 2 seed for the upcoming playoffs.
Jason Kubel snapped a 2-2 tie in Monday's matchup with a two-run homer in the
bottom of the fifth inning, with Jim Thome belting a solo shot two batters
later to give the Twins a three-run cushion. The long ball was the 585th of
Thome's storied career, moving the veteran slugger one away from catching
Frank Robinson for eighth place on baseball's all-time list.
Thome's homer also proved to be an important one, as the Royals scored twice
in the top of the sixth to pull within 5-4. They would get no closer, however,
as relievers Matt Guerrier, Jesse Crain and Matt Capps kept Kansas City off
the board over the final three frames to come out on top.
Capps threw a 1-2-3 ninth to notch his 10th save since joining Minnesota in a
trade with Washington just prior to the July 31 non-waiver deadline.
"It's been a lot of fun," Capps said about his time with the Twins.
"Hopefully, we keep playing good baseball and it remains fun."
Brayan Pena finished 2-for-4 with two RBI for Kansas City, losers of four of
its five games. Starting pitcher Sean O'Sullivan (2-5) was hung with the
defeat after allowing five runs, including the pivotal homers to Kubel and
Thome, over 4 2/3 innings of work.
"Two pitches changed the whole game," O'Sullivan said afterward.
The Royals hope to fair better tonight behind Brian Bannister in the right-
hander's return from a month-long stint on the disabled list due to shoulder
tendinitis.
Bannister had been struggling mightily prior to being shelved on August 3,
losing five straight starts and going 1-7 with a brutal 7.96 earned run
average over a 10-game stretch beginning in mid-June. One of those setbacks
came against the Twins in Kansas City on July 28, when he was reached for five
runs and 11 hits over six innings.
The 29-year-old, who tossed 3 1/3 scoreless frames in his final rehab
assignment for Triple-A Omaha on Wednesday, did throw 6 1/3 innings of two-run
ball to beat Minnesota on April 25 and is 4-5 with a 4.36 ERA over 12 lifetime
starts against the Twins.
Minnesota counters with Francisco Liriano, who'll putting his unbeaten second-
half record on the line in tonight's tilt. In nine starts since the All-Star
break, the tough left-hander has compiled a 6-0 mark along with a sensational
2.17 ERA and allowed only a single home run in a span of 58 innings.
Liriano didn't come up with a victory his last time out, although he certainly
deserved one after limiting Detroit to five hits and striking out seven
batters over seven shutout innings on Wednesday. He exited the game with a 1-0
lead, but the Tigers would tie it against the Minnesota bullpen later on.
The Dominican native also fired seven scoreless frames in a July 26 encounter
at Kansas City, this time gaining the win in a 19-1 Twins' rout. The effort
moved Liriano to 4-3 with a 4.04 ERA in 10 career appearances (seven starts)
against the Royals.
In 13 starts at Target Field, where he hasn't lost since June 28, Liriano is
6-3 with an impressive 2.51 ERA.
The 26-year-old will be trying to pitch the Twins to a fifth consecutive win
over Kansas City. Minnesota has gone 10-3 against the Royals so far this
season and has prevailed in five of the seven games between the teams held in
Minneapolis.
<< Rookies to go head-to-head in Mets-Nationals clash
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With the Washington Nationals already looking ahead to next
year -- and maybe even 2012 given Stephen Strasburg's need for Tommy John
surgery -- a couple of young players are looking to show the team they can
contribute.
<< Lohse hoping to pitch Cardinals past Brewers
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Though the St. Louis Cardinals appear to be loaded at the
top of their pitching rotation, the back end could use some work.
Kyle Lohse gets a chance to claim his rotation spot this evening, when St.
Louis tries to gain mor
<< Week One Highlights
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Could the 2010 college football season
gotten off to a better start? It began with some of the nation's top teams
flexing their muscles. There were shootouts, defensive struggles and thrilling
overtime affair
<< Rockies hope to stay hot versus Reds
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Colorado Rockies have put together a couple of strong
Septembers over the past few years. They've been even more successful in
recent meetings with the Cincinnati Reds at Coors Field.
Colorado shoots for an eighth cons
<< Padres try to string back-to-back wins together against LA
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After finally being able to end a potentially-costly 10-
game skid on Monday, the San Diego Padres will try to start up a winning
streak behind their best pitcher when the National League West leaders resume
a three-game seri
2010 World Basketball Championship update - September 7th >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
Halftime - Lithuania 43, China 40
Argentina vs. Brazil, 2 p.m.
The Real Deal on the AL Cy Young Race >>
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With 28 days left in the regular season, the
American League Cy Young award is still up for grabs. It seems the New York
Yankees' CC Sabathia is considered the leading candidate, although I think
there's another
Illini lineman suspended after DUI arrest >>
CHAMPAIGN, Ill. (AP) -Illinois has indefinitely suspended defensive lineman Michael Buchanan after he was arrested on suspicion of drunken driving over the weekend.Champaign County State's Attorney Julia Rietz said Tuesday that Illinois State Police
Report: Patriots, Brady close to contract extension >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Patriots and quarterback Tom
Brady are reportedly on the verge of a three-year contract extension worth
close to $58 million.
The Boston Herald reports the deal is on the table for Brady,
NHL: Five burning Northwest Division questions >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Vancouver Canucks plowed through
the Northwest Division with a 15-7-2 mark en route to the third best record in
the Western Conference last season. However, their regular season success did
not trans
Big East Conference odds
Work left to do: Villanova, Syracuse, DePaul, West Virginia, Providence
Notre Dame and Louisville appear to have done enough to make the move, so we'll make them locks. The Cardinals, despite a modest RPI, are trending way up and have clinched at least a tie for third in the Big East, which should be more than enough with their pair of big road wins. Villanova got back to .500 and gets back to more solid footing. Syracuse got a very important road win and crippled a fellow contender in the process. West Virginia's fate could be in its hands Tuesday at Pitt.
Work left to do:
Villanova [18-9 (7-7), RPI: 21, SOS: 5] Pounded Rutgers to get back to .500. If Cats can get their last two (at UConn, vs. Syracuse), that should be enough with strong computer numbers and a host of wins away from The Pavilion. The Cats have beaten Texas and swept the Big 5 (never easy in Philly), but have a couple of losses to bubble teams (Xavier, Drexel), too. I still think they'll be OK, possibly even at 8-8.
Syracuse [20-8 (9-5), RPI: 53, SOS: 62] History says 10 wins will be plenty, but it might be hard for the Orange to get that last one with a final two vs. G'town, which is trying to win the league title, and at Villanova, which will be desperate for a W. The relative lack of nonconference heft and the weak computer numbers are still concerns, but the Orange have won four in a row and got a very, very big win at Providence on Saturday.
DePaul [16-12 (8-7), RPI: 54, SOS: 18] Beat Cincy and should get past South Florida to get to 9-7, but then what? They have beaten Kansas and Cal (right after the DeVon Hardin injury) earlier this season, but also have lost to Bradley and Purdue, among others. They'll likely need a couple of BE tourney wins, too, but we'll see ...
West Virginia [19-7 (8-6), RPI: 58, SOS: 125] The game at Pitt on Tuesday night could decide the Mountaineers' fate (barring a deep tournament run). They can still get to 9-7 in the Big East without it by beating Cincinnati, but the nine wins would be against UConn, Villanova, St. John's, South Florida, DePaul, Rutgers, Seton Hall twice and the Bearcats. Beating bubble foes is fine, but where's the beef? Outside of beating PG-less UCLA in nonconference play (still a top quality win), there's not a lot to fall back on (besides maybe NC State). WVU vs. Syracuse would be an interesting debate, as the teams don't play in the Big East regular season. WVU has the best win, but Cuse has played the much better schedule.
Providence [17-10 (7-7), RPI: 70, SOS: 33] The Friars likely saw their at-large hopes die at home in the four-point loss to Syracuse, barring an unexpected run to the Big East semis or more. The RPI, bad already, won't be helped by playing St. John's and South Florida in the final two league games.
For more March Madness odds go to MySportsbook.com
For more College Basketball betting lines go to BettingExpress.com
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com - this sportsbook accepts credit cards.
NFL Football Betting Online
Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?
I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.
Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.
There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.
Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.
For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.
A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.
The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.
Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.
So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.
Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.
“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.
Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.
“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.
It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.
Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.
The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.
“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.
“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”
Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.
The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.
“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”
Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?
“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.
|